Fancy Wood (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.39

FANCY Stock  THB 0.39  0.01  2.63%   
Fancy Wood's future price is the expected price of Fancy Wood instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fancy Wood Industries performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fancy Wood Backtesting, Fancy Wood Valuation, Fancy Wood Correlation, Fancy Wood Hype Analysis, Fancy Wood Volatility, Fancy Wood History as well as Fancy Wood Performance.
  
Please specify Fancy Wood's target price for which you would like Fancy Wood odds to be computed.

Fancy Wood Target Price Odds to finish below 0.39

The tendency of Fancy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.39 90 days 0.39 
about 49.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fancy Wood to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.88 (This Fancy Wood Industries probability density function shows the probability of Fancy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fancy Wood Industries has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fancy Wood are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fancy Wood Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fancy Wood Industries has an alpha of 0.2104, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fancy Wood Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fancy Wood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fancy Wood Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fancy Wood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.393.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.333.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.403.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.360.380.39
Details

Fancy Wood Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fancy Wood is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fancy Wood's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fancy Wood Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fancy Wood within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Fancy Wood Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fancy Wood for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fancy Wood Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fancy Wood has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 209.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.83 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Fancy Wood Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fancy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fancy Wood's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fancy Wood's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding615 M

Fancy Wood Technical Analysis

Fancy Wood's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fancy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fancy Wood Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fancy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fancy Wood Predictive Forecast Models

Fancy Wood's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fancy Wood's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fancy Wood's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fancy Wood Industries

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fancy Wood for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fancy Wood Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fancy Wood has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 209.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (61.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.83 M.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Fancy Stock

Fancy Wood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fancy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fancy with respect to the benefits of owning Fancy Wood security.