SFC Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.84
| F3C Stock | 16.68 0.18 1.07% |
SFC |
SFC Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 14.84
The tendency of SFC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.84 or more in 90 days |
| 16.68 | 90 days | 14.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SFC Energy to drop to 14.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SFC Energy AG probability density function shows the probability of SFC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SFC Energy AG price to stay between 14.84 and its current price of 16.68 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SFC Energy has a beta of 0.0734. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, SFC Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SFC Energy AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SFC Energy AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SFC Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SFC Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SFC Energy AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SFC Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SFC Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SFC Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SFC Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SFC Energy AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SFC Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
SFC Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SFC Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SFC Energy AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SFC Energy AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 64.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.64 M. |
SFC Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SFC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SFC Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SFC Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.6 M |
SFC Energy Technical Analysis
SFC Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SFC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SFC Energy AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing SFC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SFC Energy Predictive Forecast Models
SFC Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many SFC Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SFC Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SFC Energy AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about SFC Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SFC Energy AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SFC Energy AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 64.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.64 M. |
Additional Tools for SFC Stock Analysis
When running SFC Energy's price analysis, check to measure SFC Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SFC Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SFC Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SFC Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SFC Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SFC Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.