Fair Isaac (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 271.00
| F2IC34 Stock | 271.00 3.40 1.24% |
Fair |
Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish over 271.00
The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 271.00 | 90 days | 271.00 | about 56.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.32 (This Fair Isaac probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fair Isaac has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fair Isaac average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fair Isaac will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fair Isaac has an alpha of 0.2394, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fair Isaac Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fair Isaac. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fair Isaac's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fair Isaac's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fair Isaac.Fair Isaac Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Isaac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Isaac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Isaac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Isaac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Fair Isaac Technical Analysis
Fair Isaac's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fair Isaac. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fair Isaac Predictive Forecast Models
Fair Isaac's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fair Isaac's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fair Isaac's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fair Isaac in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fair Isaac's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fair Isaac options trading.