Exxaro Tiles (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.99
| EXXARO Stock | 8.80 0.47 5.07% |
Exxaro |
Exxaro Tiles Target Price Odds to finish over 5.99
The tendency of Exxaro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.99 in 90 days |
| 8.80 | 90 days | 5.99 | about 68.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exxaro Tiles to stay above 5.99 in 90 days from now is about 68.08 (This Exxaro Tiles Limited probability density function shows the probability of Exxaro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exxaro Tiles Limited price to stay between 5.99 and its current price of 8.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exxaro Tiles Limited has a beta of -7.25 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Exxaro Tiles Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Exxaro Tiles is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Exxaro Tiles Limited has an alpha of 12.5351, implying that it can generate a 12.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exxaro Tiles Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exxaro Tiles
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exxaro Tiles Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exxaro Tiles Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exxaro Tiles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exxaro Tiles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exxaro Tiles Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exxaro Tiles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 12.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -7.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Exxaro Tiles Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exxaro Tiles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exxaro Tiles Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exxaro Tiles Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exxaro Tiles Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arvind Ltd Hits 52-Week High of Rs. 450.4 Amid Market Volatility - MarketsMojo |
Exxaro Tiles Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exxaro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exxaro Tiles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exxaro Tiles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.1 M |
Exxaro Tiles Technical Analysis
Exxaro Tiles' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exxaro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exxaro Tiles Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exxaro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exxaro Tiles Predictive Forecast Models
Exxaro Tiles' time-series forecasting models is one of many Exxaro Tiles' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exxaro Tiles' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exxaro Tiles Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exxaro Tiles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exxaro Tiles Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exxaro Tiles Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exxaro Tiles Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Arvind Ltd Hits 52-Week High of Rs. 450.4 Amid Market Volatility - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in Exxaro Stock
Exxaro Tiles financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exxaro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exxaro with respect to the benefits of owning Exxaro Tiles security.