Expand Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 56.23
| EXEEW Stock | 89.63 1.18 1.33% |
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Expand Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 56.23
The tendency of Expand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 56.23 or more in 90 days |
| 89.63 | 90 days | 56.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expand Energy to drop to 56.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Expand Energy probability density function shows the probability of Expand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Expand Energy price to stay between 56.23 and its current price of 89.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.04 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Expand Energy has a beta of 0.58 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Expand Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Expand Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Expand Energy has an alpha of 0.5238, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Expand Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Expand Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expand Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expand Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Expand Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expand Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expand Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expand Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expand Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Expand Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expand Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expand Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Expand Energy was previously known as Chesapeake Energy and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CHKEW. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vitesse Energy to Acquire Lucero Energy in Accretive All-Stock Transaction Supporting Increase to Vitesses Dividend - Business Wire |
Expand Energy Technical Analysis
Expand Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expand Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Expand Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Expand Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expand Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expand Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Expand Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Expand Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expand Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Expand Energy was previously known as Chesapeake Energy and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CHKEW. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Vitesse Energy to Acquire Lucero Energy in Accretive All-Stock Transaction Supporting Increase to Vitesses Dividend - Business Wire |
Additional Tools for Expand Stock Analysis
When running Expand Energy's price analysis, check to measure Expand Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Expand Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Expand Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Expand Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Expand Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Expand Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.