East West Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.15
| EWBC Stock | USD 96.65 0.35 0.36% |
East |
East West Target Price Odds to finish below 90.15
The tendency of East Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 90.15 or more in 90 days |
| 96.65 | 90 days | 90.15 | about 25.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of East West to drop to $ 90.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.43 (This East West Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of East Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of East West Bancorp price to stay between $ 90.15 and its current price of $96.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, East West will likely underperform. Additionally East West Bancorp has an alpha of 0.2025, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). East West Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for East West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as East West Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.East West Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. East West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the East West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold East West Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of East West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
East West Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of East West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for East West Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 East West paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 9780 shares by Del Moral-niles Christopher of East West subject to Rule 16b-3 |
East West Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of East Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential East West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. East West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
East West Technical Analysis
East West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. East Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of East West Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing East Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
East West Predictive Forecast Models
East West's time-series forecasting models is one of many East West's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary East West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about East West Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about East West for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for East West Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of November 2024 East West paid $ 0.55 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 9780 shares by Del Moral-niles Christopher of East West subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out East West Backtesting, East West Valuation, East West Correlation, East West Hype Analysis, East West Volatility, East West History as well as East West Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of East West. If investors know East will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about East West listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.059 | Dividend Share 2.13 | Earnings Share 7.92 | Revenue Per Share 17.316 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of East West Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of East that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of East West's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is East West's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because East West's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect East West's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between East West's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if East West is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, East West's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.