East West Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EWBC Stock  USD 109.68  0.37  0.34%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of East West Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 111.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.26. East Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast East West stock prices and determine the direction of East West Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of East West's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.04, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.34. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 116.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-12-20 East Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast East West's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in East West's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for East West stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current East West's open interest, investors have to compare it to East West's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of East West is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in East. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through East West price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

East West Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of East West Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 111.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17, mean absolute percentage error of 7.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict East Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that East West's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

East West Stock Forecast Pattern

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East West Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting East West's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. East West's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.83 and 113.20, respectively. We have considered East West's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
109.68
108.83
Downside
111.01
Expected Value
113.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of East West stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent East West stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.073
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.1682
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors132.2574
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as East West Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for East West

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as East West Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.30109.48111.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.8893.06120.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
85.82100.10114.38
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
59.8365.7572.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as East West. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against East West's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, East West's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in East West Bancorp.

Other Forecasting Options for East West

For every potential investor in East, whether a beginner or expert, East West's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. East Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in East. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying East West's price trends.

East West Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with East West stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of East West could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing East West by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

East West Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of East West's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of East West's current price.

East West Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how East West stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading East West shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying East West stock market strength indicators, traders can identify East West Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

East West Risk Indicators

The analysis of East West's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in East West's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting east stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether East West Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of East West's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of East West Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on East West Bancorp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of East West to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of East West. If investors know East will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about East West listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.059
Dividend Share
2.13
Earnings Share
7.92
Revenue Per Share
17.316
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.097
The market value of East West Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of East that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of East West's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is East West's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because East West's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect East West's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between East West's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if East West is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, East West's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.