Eaton Vance Senior Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.09

EVF Stock  USD 6.27  0.01  0.16%   
Eaton Vance's future price is the expected price of Eaton Vance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eaton Vance Senior performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eaton Vance Backtesting, Eaton Vance Valuation, Eaton Vance Correlation, Eaton Vance Hype Analysis, Eaton Vance Volatility, Eaton Vance History as well as Eaton Vance Performance.
  
At this time, Eaton Vance's Price Sales Ratio is most likely to drop in the upcoming years. Please specify Eaton Vance's target price for which you would like Eaton Vance odds to be computed.

Eaton Vance Target Price Odds to finish below 5.09

The tendency of Eaton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.09  or more in 90 days
 6.27 90 days 5.09 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eaton Vance to drop to $ 5.09  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eaton Vance Senior probability density function shows the probability of Eaton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eaton Vance Senior price to stay between $ 5.09  and its current price of $6.27 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Eaton Vance has a beta of 0.0499 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eaton Vance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eaton Vance Senior will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eaton Vance Senior has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eaton Vance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eaton Vance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eaton Vance Senior. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.876.276.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.826.226.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.856.256.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.246.256.27
Details

Eaton Vance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eaton Vance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eaton Vance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eaton Vance Senior, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eaton Vance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Eaton Vance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eaton Vance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eaton Vance Senior can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eaton Vance Senior has 12 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.18, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Eaton Vance Senior has a current ratio of 0.24, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Eaton to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 18th of November 2024 Eaton Vance paid $ 0.048 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust to Issue Dividend of 0.05

Eaton Vance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eaton Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eaton Vance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eaton Vance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M

Eaton Vance Technical Analysis

Eaton Vance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eaton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eaton Vance Senior. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eaton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eaton Vance Predictive Forecast Models

Eaton Vance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eaton Vance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eaton Vance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eaton Vance Senior

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eaton Vance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eaton Vance Senior help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eaton Vance Senior has 12 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.18, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Eaton Vance Senior has a current ratio of 0.24, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Eaton to invest in growth at high rates of return.
On 18th of November 2024 Eaton Vance paid $ 0.048 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust to Issue Dividend of 0.05
When determining whether Eaton Vance Senior is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eaton Vance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eaton Vance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eaton Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Eaton Vance Backtesting, Eaton Vance Valuation, Eaton Vance Correlation, Eaton Vance Hype Analysis, Eaton Vance Volatility, Eaton Vance History as well as Eaton Vance Performance.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eaton Vance. If investors know Eaton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eaton Vance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Dividend Share
0.704
Earnings Share
0.73
Revenue Per Share
0.945
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Eaton Vance Senior is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eaton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eaton Vance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eaton Vance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eaton Vance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eaton Vance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eaton Vance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eaton Vance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eaton Vance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.