Enstar Group Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 320.93
| ESGR Stock | USD 322.15 0.55 0.17% |
Enstar |
Enstar Group Target Price Odds to finish below 320.93
The tendency of Enstar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 320.93 or more in 90 days |
| 322.15 | 90 days | 320.93 | about 7.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enstar Group to drop to $ 320.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.34 (This Enstar Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Enstar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enstar Group Limited price to stay between $ 320.93 and its current price of $322.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Enstar Group has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Enstar Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enstar Group Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Enstar Group Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Enstar Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Enstar Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enstar Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enstar Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enstar Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enstar Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enstar Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enstar Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0081 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Enstar Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enstar Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enstar Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Enstar Group Limited has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 100 shares by Becker Bernard F. of Enstar Group at 323.435 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Enstar Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enstar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enstar Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enstar Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 832 M |
Enstar Group Technical Analysis
Enstar Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enstar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enstar Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enstar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enstar Group Predictive Forecast Models
Enstar Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enstar Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enstar Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enstar Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enstar Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enstar Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Enstar Group Limited has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 100 shares by Becker Bernard F. of Enstar Group at 323.435 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Enstar Stock Analysis
When running Enstar Group's price analysis, check to measure Enstar Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enstar Group is operating at the current time. Most of Enstar Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enstar Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enstar Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enstar Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.