Esenboga Elektrik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.24
ESEN Stock | TRY 27.24 0.42 1.52% |
Esenboga |
Esenboga Elektrik Target Price Odds to finish over 27.24
The tendency of Esenboga Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
27.24 | 90 days | 27.24 | about 18.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Esenboga Elektrik to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 18.8 (This Esenboga Elektrik Uretim probability density function shows the probability of Esenboga Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has a beta of -0.48 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Esenboga Elektrik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Esenboga Elektrik Uretim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has an alpha of 0.4865, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Esenboga Elektrik Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Esenboga Elektrik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esenboga Elektrik Uretim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Esenboga Elektrik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Esenboga Elektrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Esenboga Elektrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Esenboga Elektrik Uretim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Esenboga Elektrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Esenboga Elektrik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Esenboga Elektrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Esenboga Elektrik Uretim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 956.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Esenboga Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Esenboga Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Esenboga Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Esenboga to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Esenboga Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has accumulated about 67.2 M in cash with (861.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. | |
Roughly 70.0% of Esenboga Elektrik shares are held by company insiders |
Esenboga Elektrik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Esenboga Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Esenboga Elektrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Esenboga Elektrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64 M |
Esenboga Elektrik Technical Analysis
Esenboga Elektrik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Esenboga Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Esenboga Elektrik Uretim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Esenboga Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Esenboga Elektrik Predictive Forecast Models
Esenboga Elektrik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Esenboga Elektrik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Esenboga Elektrik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Esenboga Elektrik Uretim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Esenboga Elektrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Esenboga Elektrik Uretim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has accumulated 956.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Esenboga Elektrik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Esenboga Elektrik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Esenboga Elektrik Uretim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Esenboga to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Esenboga Elektrik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Esenboga Elektrik Uretim has accumulated about 67.2 M in cash with (861.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. | |
Roughly 70.0% of Esenboga Elektrik shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Esenboga Stock Analysis
When running Esenboga Elektrik's price analysis, check to measure Esenboga Elektrik's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Esenboga Elektrik is operating at the current time. Most of Esenboga Elektrik's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Esenboga Elektrik's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Esenboga Elektrik's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Esenboga Elektrik to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.