BGF Latin (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 55.15
| ERDD Fund | EUR 53.31 1.20 2.30% |
BGF |
BGF Latin Target Price Odds to finish over 55.15
The tendency of BGF Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 55.15 or more in 90 days |
| 53.31 | 90 days | 55.15 | about 23.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BGF Latin to move over € 55.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.6 (This BGF Latin American probability density function shows the probability of BGF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BGF Latin American price to stay between its current price of € 53.31 and € 55.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BGF Latin has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BGF Latin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BGF Latin American will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BGF Latin American has an alpha of 0.0213, implying that it can generate a 0.0213 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BGF Latin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BGF Latin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BGF Latin American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BGF Latin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BGF Latin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BGF Latin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BGF Latin American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BGF Latin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
BGF Latin Technical Analysis
BGF Latin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BGF Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BGF Latin American. In general, you should focus on analyzing BGF Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BGF Latin Predictive Forecast Models
BGF Latin's time-series forecasting models is one of many BGF Latin's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BGF Latin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BGF Latin in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BGF Latin's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BGF Latin options trading.
Other Information on Investing in BGF Fund
BGF Latin financial ratios help investors to determine whether BGF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BGF with respect to the benefits of owning BGF Latin security.
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