Eos Energy Enterprises Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.72
| EOSE Stock | USD 2.89 0.06 2.03% |
Closest to current price Eos long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Eos |
Eos Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.72
The tendency of Eos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.72 or more in 90 days |
| 2.89 | 90 days | 0.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eos Energy to drop to $ 0.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eos Energy Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Eos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eos Energy Enterprises price to stay between $ 0.72 and its current price of $2.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Eos Energy Enterprises has a beta of -0.28 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eos Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eos Energy Enterprises is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eos Energy Enterprises has an alpha of 0.2517, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Eos Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Eos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eos Energy Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eos Energy Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Eos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eos Energy Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eos Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Eos Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.51 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (135.34 M). | |
| Eos Energy Enterprises currently holds about 16.27 M in cash with (145.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Eos Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Eos Energy Enterprises promotes Francis Richey to chief technology officer |
Eos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 69.5 M |
Eos Energy Technical Analysis
Eos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eos Energy Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Eos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eos Energy Enterprises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eos Energy Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eos Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Eos Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (229.51 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (135.34 M). | |
| Eos Energy Enterprises currently holds about 16.27 M in cash with (145.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Eos Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Eos Energy Enterprises promotes Francis Richey to chief technology officer |
Check out Eos Energy Backtesting, Eos Energy Valuation, Eos Energy Correlation, Eos Energy Hype Analysis, Eos Energy Volatility, Eos Energy History as well as Eos Energy Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eos Energy. If investors know Eos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.46) | Revenue Per Share 0.075 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.249 | Return On Assets (0.55) | Return On Equity (28.16) |
The market value of Eos Energy Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.