Emeco Holdings Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.53

EOHDF Stock  USD 0.53  0.00  0.00%   
Emeco Holdings' future price is the expected price of Emeco Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Emeco Holdings Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Emeco Holdings Backtesting, Emeco Holdings Valuation, Emeco Holdings Correlation, Emeco Holdings Hype Analysis, Emeco Holdings Volatility, Emeco Holdings History as well as Emeco Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Emeco Holdings' target price for which you would like Emeco Holdings odds to be computed.

Emeco Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.53

The tendency of Emeco Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.53 90 days 0.53 
roughly 2.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Emeco Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.42 (This Emeco Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Emeco Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emeco Holdings has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Emeco Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Emeco Holdings Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Emeco Holdings Limited has an alpha of 0.1418, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Emeco Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Emeco Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emeco Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Emeco Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.531.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.441.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.531.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.490.520.55
Details

Emeco Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Emeco Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Emeco Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Emeco Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Emeco Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Emeco Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Emeco Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Emeco Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emeco Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Emeco Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Emeco Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Emeco Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emeco Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding526.7 M

Emeco Holdings Technical Analysis

Emeco Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Emeco Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Emeco Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Emeco Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Emeco Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Emeco Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Emeco Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Emeco Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Emeco Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Emeco Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Emeco Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emeco Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Emeco Pink Sheet

Emeco Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Emeco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Emeco with respect to the benefits of owning Emeco Holdings security.