Energy Development (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.14
| ENERGYDEV | 25.80 0.23 0.88% |
Energy |
Energy Development Target Price Odds to finish below 26.14
The tendency of Energy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 26.14 after 90 days |
| 25.80 | 90 days | 26.14 | about 46.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Energy Development to stay under 26.14 after 90 days from now is about 46.92 (This Energy Development probability density function shows the probability of Energy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Energy Development price to stay between its current price of 25.80 and 26.14 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Energy Development has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Energy Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Energy Development is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Energy Development has an alpha of 0.1448, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Energy Development Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Energy Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Energy Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Energy Development Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Energy Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Energy Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Energy Development, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Energy Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Energy Development Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Energy Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Energy Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Energy Development had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 300.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 362.49 M. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Energy Development Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Energy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Energy Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Energy Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 179.8 M |
Energy Development Technical Analysis
Energy Development's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Energy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Energy Development. In general, you should focus on analyzing Energy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Energy Development Predictive Forecast Models
Energy Development's time-series forecasting models is one of many Energy Development's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Energy Development's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Energy Development
Checking the ongoing alerts about Energy Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Energy Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Energy Development had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Energy Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 300.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 362.49 M. | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Energy Stock
Energy Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Energy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Energy with respect to the benefits of owning Energy Development security.