Elmer Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 18.7
| ELMA Stock | USD 21.75 0.00 0.00% |
Elmer |
Elmer Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 18.7
The tendency of Elmer Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 18.70 in 90 days |
| 21.75 | 90 days | 18.70 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elmer Bancorp to stay above $ 18.70 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Elmer Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Elmer Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elmer Bancorp price to stay between $ 18.70 and its current price of $21.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Elmer Bancorp has a beta of 0.0176 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Elmer Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Elmer Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Elmer Bancorp has an alpha of 0.037, implying that it can generate a 0.037 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Elmer Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Elmer Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elmer Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Elmer Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elmer Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elmer Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elmer Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elmer Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Elmer Bancorp Technical Analysis
Elmer Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elmer Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elmer Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elmer Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Elmer Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Elmer Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elmer Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elmer Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Elmer Bancorp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Elmer Bancorp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Elmer Bancorp options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Elmer Pink Sheet
Elmer Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elmer Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elmer with respect to the benefits of owning Elmer Bancorp security.