Electromagnetica (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

ELMA Stock   0.21  0.01  4.55%   
Electromagnetica's future price is the expected price of Electromagnetica instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Electromagnetica SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Electromagnetica Backtesting, Electromagnetica Valuation, Electromagnetica Correlation, Electromagnetica Hype Analysis, Electromagnetica Volatility, Electromagnetica History as well as Electromagnetica Performance.
  
Please specify Electromagnetica's target price for which you would like Electromagnetica odds to be computed.

Electromagnetica Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of Electromagnetica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.21 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electromagnetica to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Electromagnetica SA probability density function shows the probability of Electromagnetica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electromagnetica price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 0.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electromagnetica SA has a beta of -0.53 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Electromagnetica are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Electromagnetica SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Electromagnetica SA has an alpha of 0.0685, implying that it can generate a 0.0685 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Electromagnetica Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Electromagnetica

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electromagnetica. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.213.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.173.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.223.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.150.210.26
Details

Electromagnetica Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electromagnetica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electromagnetica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electromagnetica SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electromagnetica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0

Electromagnetica Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electromagnetica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electromagnetica can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electromagnetica has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Electromagnetica had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Electromagnetica Technical Analysis

Electromagnetica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electromagnetica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electromagnetica SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electromagnetica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Electromagnetica Predictive Forecast Models

Electromagnetica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electromagnetica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electromagnetica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Electromagnetica

Checking the ongoing alerts about Electromagnetica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electromagnetica help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Electromagnetica has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Electromagnetica had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Electromagnetica Stock

Electromagnetica financial ratios help investors to determine whether Electromagnetica Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Electromagnetica with respect to the benefits of owning Electromagnetica security.