Elekta AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 75.81

EKTA-B Stock  SEK 61.50  3.70  5.67%   
Elekta AB's future price is the expected price of Elekta AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Elekta AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Elekta AB Backtesting, Elekta AB Valuation, Elekta AB Correlation, Elekta AB Hype Analysis, Elekta AB Volatility, Elekta AB History as well as Elekta AB Performance.
  
Please specify Elekta AB's target price for which you would like Elekta AB odds to be computed.

Elekta AB Target Price Odds to finish below 75.81

The tendency of Elekta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 75.81  after 90 days
 61.50 90 days 75.81 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Elekta AB to stay under kr 75.81  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Elekta AB probability density function shows the probability of Elekta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Elekta AB price to stay between its current price of kr 61.50  and kr 75.81  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Elekta AB has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Elekta AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Elekta AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Elekta AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Elekta AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Elekta AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Elekta AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.7061.5063.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.3564.2866.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
60.4262.2264.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
62.2963.5364.76
Details

Elekta AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Elekta AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Elekta AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Elekta AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Elekta AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Elekta AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Elekta AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Elekta AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Elekta AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Elekta AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Elekta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Elekta AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elekta AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding382.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Elekta AB Technical Analysis

Elekta AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Elekta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Elekta AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Elekta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Elekta AB Predictive Forecast Models

Elekta AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Elekta AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Elekta AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Elekta AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Elekta AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Elekta AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Elekta AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Elekta Stock

Elekta AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Elekta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Elekta with respect to the benefits of owning Elekta AB security.