Vaalco Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.2

EGY Stock  USD 4.32  0.01  0.23%   
Vaalco Energy's future price is the expected price of Vaalco Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vaalco Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vaalco Energy Backtesting, Vaalco Energy Valuation, Vaalco Energy Correlation, Vaalco Energy Hype Analysis, Vaalco Energy Volatility, Vaalco Energy History as well as Vaalco Energy Performance.
For more information on how to buy Vaalco Stock please use our How to Invest in Vaalco Energy guide.
  
At this time, Vaalco Energy's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 5.75 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.00 in 2024. Please specify Vaalco Energy's target price for which you would like Vaalco Energy odds to be computed.

Vaalco Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 5.2

The tendency of Vaalco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 5.20  after 90 days
 4.32 90 days 5.20 
about 34.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaalco Energy to stay under $ 5.20  after 90 days from now is about 34.32 (This Vaalco Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vaalco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vaalco Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 4.32  and $ 5.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vaalco Energy has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Vaalco Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vaalco Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vaalco Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vaalco Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vaalco Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaalco Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.014.296.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.985.267.54
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.628.379.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.210.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vaalco Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vaalco Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vaalco Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vaalco Energy.

Vaalco Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaalco Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaalco Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaalco Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaalco Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Vaalco Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaalco Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaalco Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaalco Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vaalco Energy has 90.8 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Vaalco Energy has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vaalco to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 61.0% of Vaalco Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Heres Why VAALCO Energy Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Vaalco Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaalco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaalco Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaalco Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding106.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments121 M

Vaalco Energy Technical Analysis

Vaalco Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaalco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaalco Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaalco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vaalco Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Vaalco Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaalco Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vaalco Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vaalco Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaalco Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaalco Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaalco Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vaalco Energy has 90.8 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Vaalco Energy has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Vaalco to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 61.0% of Vaalco Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Heres Why VAALCO Energy Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Additional Tools for Vaalco Stock Analysis

When running Vaalco Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vaalco Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaalco Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vaalco Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaalco Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaalco Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaalco Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.