1847 Holdings Llc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 150.46
| EFSH Stock | USD 0.23 0.02 8.00% |
1847 |
1847 Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 150.46
The tendency of 1847 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 150.46 after 90 days |
| 0.23 | 90 days | 150.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1847 Holdings to stay under $ 150.46 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This 1847 Holdings LLC probability density function shows the probability of 1847 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1847 Holdings LLC price to stay between its current price of $ 0.23 and $ 150.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, 1847 Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally 1847 Holdings LLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 1847 Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1847 Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1847 Holdings LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1847 Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1847 Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1847 Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1847 Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1847 Holdings LLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1847 Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
1847 Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1847 Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1847 Holdings LLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1847 Holdings LLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC currently holds 38.5 M in liabilities. 1847 Holdings LLC has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about 1847 Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 68.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.7 M. | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC currently holds about 1.6 M in cash with (7.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 1847 Holdings Acquires 33M Revenue Cabinetry Maker CMD in Strategic 18.75M Expansion Deal - StockTitan |
1847 Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1847 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1847 Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1847 Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 365.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M |
1847 Holdings Technical Analysis
1847 Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1847 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1847 Holdings LLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1847 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1847 Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
1847 Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many 1847 Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1847 Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 1847 Holdings LLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1847 Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1847 Holdings LLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 1847 Holdings LLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC currently holds 38.5 M in liabilities. 1847 Holdings LLC has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about 1847 Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 68.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.7 M. | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC currently holds about 1.6 M in cash with (7.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 1847 Holdings LLC has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: 1847 Holdings Acquires 33M Revenue Cabinetry Maker CMD in Strategic 18.75M Expansion Deal - StockTitan |
Check out 1847 Holdings Backtesting, 1847 Holdings Valuation, 1847 Holdings Correlation, 1847 Holdings Hype Analysis, 1847 Holdings Volatility, 1847 Holdings History as well as 1847 Holdings Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1847 Holdings. If investors know 1847 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 1847 Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share -23.5 K | Revenue Per Share 351.204 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) | Return On Assets (0.13) | Return On Equity (2.59) |
The market value of 1847 Holdings LLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 1847 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 1847 Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 1847 Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 1847 Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 1847 Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1847 Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1847 Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1847 Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.