Empresa Distribuidora Y Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.47
| EDN Stock | USD 44.50 0.19 0.43% |
Empresa |
Empresa Distribuidora Target Price Odds to finish below 33.47
The tendency of Empresa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 33.47 or more in 90 days |
| 44.50 | 90 days | 33.47 | about 50.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empresa Distribuidora to drop to $ 33.47 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.96 (This Empresa Distribuidora y probability density function shows the probability of Empresa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Empresa Distribuidora price to stay between $ 33.47 and its current price of $44.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Empresa Distribuidora has a beta of 0.15 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Empresa Distribuidora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Empresa Distribuidora y will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Empresa Distribuidora y has an alpha of 1.0222, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Empresa Distribuidora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Empresa Distribuidora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empresa Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Empresa Distribuidora's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Empresa Distribuidora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empresa Distribuidora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empresa Distribuidora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empresa Distribuidora y, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empresa Distribuidora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.31 |
Empresa Distribuidora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empresa Distribuidora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empresa Distribuidora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Empresa Distribuidora appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Empresa Distribuidora y has 97.92 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Empresa Distribuidora has a current ratio of 0.41, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Empresa to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Empresa Distribuidora has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EDN Stock Surges 5. percent Amid Strong Financial Performance |
Empresa Distribuidora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empresa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empresa Distribuidora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empresa Distribuidora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 875 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.8 B |
Empresa Distribuidora Technical Analysis
Empresa Distribuidora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Empresa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Empresa Distribuidora y. In general, you should focus on analyzing Empresa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Empresa Distribuidora Predictive Forecast Models
Empresa Distribuidora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Empresa Distribuidora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Empresa Distribuidora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Empresa Distribuidora
Checking the ongoing alerts about Empresa Distribuidora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Empresa Distribuidora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Empresa Distribuidora appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Empresa Distribuidora y has 97.92 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.12, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Empresa Distribuidora has a current ratio of 0.41, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Empresa to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Empresa Distribuidora has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EDN Stock Surges 5. percent Amid Strong Financial Performance |
Check out Empresa Distribuidora Backtesting, Empresa Distribuidora Valuation, Empresa Distribuidora Correlation, Empresa Distribuidora Hype Analysis, Empresa Distribuidora Volatility, Empresa Distribuidora History as well as Empresa Distribuidora Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Empresa Distribuidora. If investors know Empresa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Empresa Distribuidora listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share 2.67 | Revenue Per Share 21.6 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 7.754 | Return On Assets 0.0096 |
The market value of Empresa Distribuidora is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Empresa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Empresa Distribuidora's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Empresa Distribuidora's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Empresa Distribuidora's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Empresa Distribuidora's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Empresa Distribuidora's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Empresa Distribuidora is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Empresa Distribuidora's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.