Easterly Government (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.49

E05 Stock  EUR 10.49  0.09  0.85%   
Easterly Government's future price is the expected price of Easterly Government instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Easterly Government Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Easterly Government Backtesting, Easterly Government Valuation, Easterly Government Correlation, Easterly Government Hype Analysis, Easterly Government Volatility, Easterly Government History as well as Easterly Government Performance.
  
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Easterly Government Target Price Odds to finish over 10.49

The tendency of Easterly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.49 90 days 10.49 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Easterly Government to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Easterly Government Properties probability density function shows the probability of Easterly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Easterly Government has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Easterly Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Easterly Government Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Easterly Government Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Easterly Government Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Easterly Government

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Easterly Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9210.4912.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5011.0712.64
Details

Easterly Government Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Easterly Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Easterly Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Easterly Government Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Easterly Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Easterly Government Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Easterly Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Easterly Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Easterly Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Easterly Government has accumulated €1.25 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings

Easterly Government Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Easterly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Easterly Government's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Easterly Government's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.8 M
Dividends Paid109.2 M

Easterly Government Technical Analysis

Easterly Government's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Easterly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Easterly Government Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Easterly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Easterly Government Predictive Forecast Models

Easterly Government's time-series forecasting models is one of many Easterly Government's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Easterly Government's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Easterly Government

Checking the ongoing alerts about Easterly Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Easterly Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Easterly Government generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Easterly Government has accumulated €1.25 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings

Other Information on Investing in Easterly Stock

Easterly Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Easterly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Easterly with respect to the benefits of owning Easterly Government security.