Deutsche Post (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.67
| DPWA Stock | EUR 33.60 0.20 0.60% |
Deutsche |
Deutsche Post Target Price Odds to finish below 34.67
The tendency of Deutsche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 34.67 after 90 days |
| 33.60 | 90 days | 34.67 | about 18.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Post to stay under € 34.67 after 90 days from now is about 18.41 (This Deutsche Post AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Post AG price to stay between its current price of € 33.60 and € 34.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Deutsche Post AG has a beta of -0.33 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Deutsche Post are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Deutsche Post AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Deutsche Post AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Deutsche Post Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Deutsche Post
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Post AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deutsche Post Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Post is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Post's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Post AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Post within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Deutsche Post Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Post for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Post AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deutsche Post AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deutsche Post AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Deutsche Post Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Post's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Post's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Deutsche Post Technical Analysis
Deutsche Post's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Post AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deutsche Post Predictive Forecast Models
Deutsche Post's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Post's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Post's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deutsche Post AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Post for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Post AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deutsche Post AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Deutsche Post AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations |
Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Stock
Deutsche Post financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Post security.