Dodge Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 212.95

DODGX Fund  USD 257.67  3.29  1.29%   
Dodge Stock's future price is the expected price of Dodge Stock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dodge Stock Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dodge Stock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dodge Stock Correlation, Dodge Stock Hype Analysis, Dodge Stock Volatility, Dodge Stock History as well as Dodge Stock Performance.
  
Please specify Dodge Stock's target price for which you would like Dodge Stock odds to be computed.

Dodge Stock Target Price Odds to finish below 212.95

The tendency of Dodge Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 212.95  or more in 90 days
 257.67 90 days 212.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dodge Stock to drop to $ 212.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dodge Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Dodge Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dodge Stock Fund price to stay between $ 212.95  and its current price of $257.67 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dodge Stock will likely underperform. Additionally Dodge Stock Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dodge Stock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dodge Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dodge Stock Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
256.40257.52258.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
231.90261.03262.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
244.79245.91247.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
254.84277.42299.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dodge Stock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dodge Stock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dodge Stock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dodge Stock Fund.

Dodge Stock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dodge Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dodge Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dodge Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dodge Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
7.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Dodge Stock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dodge Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dodge Stock Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dodge Stock Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Large-Cap Value Funds to Buy as Volatility Returns to Markets - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Dodge Stock Technical Analysis

Dodge Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dodge Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dodge Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dodge Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dodge Stock Predictive Forecast Models

Dodge Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dodge Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dodge Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dodge Stock Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dodge Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dodge Stock Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dodge Stock Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Large-Cap Value Funds to Buy as Volatility Returns to Markets - Yahoo Finance
The fund retains 98.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Dodge Mutual Fund

Dodge Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dodge Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dodge with respect to the benefits of owning Dodge Stock security.
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