Draftkings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.65
| DKNG Stock | USD 38.57 1.78 4.41% |
DraftKings |
DraftKings Target Price Odds to finish below 41.65
The tendency of DraftKings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 41.65 after 90 days |
| 38.57 | 90 days | 41.65 | about 75.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DraftKings to stay under $ 41.65 after 90 days from now is about 75.28 (This DraftKings probability density function shows the probability of DraftKings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DraftKings price to stay between its current price of $ 38.57 and $ 41.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.45 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days DraftKings has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DraftKings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DraftKings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DraftKings has an alpha of 0.0646, implying that it can generate a 0.0646 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DraftKings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DraftKings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DraftKings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DraftKings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DraftKings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DraftKings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DraftKings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DraftKings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
DraftKings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DraftKings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DraftKings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DraftKings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (802.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 756.19 M. | |
| DraftKings currently holds about 1.51 B in cash with (1.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.38. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: SPAC Kings Who Delivered 99 percent Losses Are Raising Billions Again |
DraftKings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DraftKings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DraftKings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DraftKings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 462.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
DraftKings Technical Analysis
DraftKings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DraftKings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DraftKings. In general, you should focus on analyzing DraftKings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DraftKings Predictive Forecast Models
DraftKings' time-series forecasting models is one of many DraftKings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DraftKings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DraftKings
Checking the ongoing alerts about DraftKings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DraftKings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DraftKings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.67 B. Net Loss for the year was (802.14 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 756.19 M. | |
| DraftKings currently holds about 1.51 B in cash with (1.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.38. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: SPAC Kings Who Delivered 99 percent Losses Are Raising Billions Again |
Check out DraftKings Backtesting, DraftKings Valuation, DraftKings Correlation, DraftKings Hype Analysis, DraftKings Volatility, DraftKings History as well as DraftKings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in DraftKings Stock please use our How to Invest in DraftKings guide.You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DraftKings. If investors know DraftKings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DraftKings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.87) | Revenue Per Share 9.655 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.387 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.44) |
The market value of DraftKings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DraftKings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DraftKings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DraftKings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DraftKings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DraftKings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DraftKings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DraftKings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DraftKings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.