Trump Media Technology Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.62
| DJTWW Stock | 24.83 1.17 4.95% |
Trump |
Trump Media Target Price Odds to finish below 21.62
The tendency of Trump Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 21.62 or more in 90 days |
| 24.83 | 90 days | 21.62 | about 64.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trump Media to drop to 21.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.47 (This Trump Media Technology probability density function shows the probability of Trump Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trump Media Technology price to stay between 21.62 and its current price of 24.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Trump Media will likely underperform. Moreover Trump Media Technology has an alpha of 1.4804, implying that it can generate a 1.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trump Media Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Trump Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trump Media Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trump Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trump Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trump Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trump Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trump Media Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trump Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Trump Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trump Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trump Media Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trump Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trump Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trump Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Trump Media Technology was previously known as Digital World Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol DWACW. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Trump Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Everything to know about Trump Media Technology Group and its main product, Truth Social - Business Insider |
Trump Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trump Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trump Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trump Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
Trump Media Technical Analysis
Trump Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trump Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trump Media Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trump Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trump Media Predictive Forecast Models
Trump Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trump Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trump Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trump Media Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trump Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trump Media Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trump Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trump Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trump Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Trump Media Technology was previously known as Digital World Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol DWACW. | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (58.19 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Trump Media generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Everything to know about Trump Media Technology Group and its main product, Truth Social - Business Insider |
Additional Tools for Trump Stock Analysis
When running Trump Media's price analysis, check to measure Trump Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trump Media is operating at the current time. Most of Trump Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trump Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trump Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trump Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.