Hf Sinclair Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.88
| DINO Stock | USD 40.98 0.81 1.94% |
DINO |
HF Sinclair Target Price Odds to finish below 42.88
The tendency of DINO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 42.88 after 90 days |
| 40.98 | 90 days | 42.88 | about 37.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HF Sinclair to stay under $ 42.88 after 90 days from now is about 37.27 (This HF Sinclair Corp probability density function shows the probability of DINO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HF Sinclair Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 40.98 and $ 42.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, HF Sinclair will likely underperform. Additionally HF Sinclair Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HF Sinclair Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HF Sinclair
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HF Sinclair Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HF Sinclair Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HF Sinclair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HF Sinclair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HF Sinclair Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HF Sinclair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
HF Sinclair Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HF Sinclair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HF Sinclair Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HF Sinclair Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sinclair Oil Balloon Headed Back to New York City for 2024 Macy |
HF Sinclair Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DINO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HF Sinclair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HF Sinclair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 190 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
HF Sinclair Technical Analysis
HF Sinclair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DINO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HF Sinclair Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing DINO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HF Sinclair Predictive Forecast Models
HF Sinclair's time-series forecasting models is one of many HF Sinclair's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HF Sinclair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HF Sinclair Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about HF Sinclair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HF Sinclair Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HF Sinclair Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sinclair Oil Balloon Headed Back to New York City for 2024 Macy |
Check out HF Sinclair Backtesting, HF Sinclair Valuation, HF Sinclair Correlation, HF Sinclair Hype Analysis, HF Sinclair Volatility, HF Sinclair History as well as HF Sinclair Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. If investors know DINO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HF Sinclair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Dividend Share 1.95 | Earnings Share 1.73 | Revenue Per Share 155.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
The market value of HF Sinclair Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DINO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HF Sinclair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HF Sinclair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HF Sinclair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HF Sinclair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HF Sinclair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HF Sinclair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HF Sinclair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.