Hf Sinclair Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.50

DINO Stock  USD 34.13  0.37  1.10%   
HF Sinclair's future price is the expected price of HF Sinclair instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HF Sinclair Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HF Sinclair Backtesting, HF Sinclair Valuation, HF Sinclair Correlation, HF Sinclair Hype Analysis, HF Sinclair Volatility, HF Sinclair History as well as HF Sinclair Performance.
  
As of the 23rd of December 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 7.43, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.33. Please specify HF Sinclair's target price for which you would like HF Sinclair odds to be computed.

HF Sinclair Target Price Odds to finish below 29.50

The tendency of DINO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 29.50  or more in 90 days
 34.13 90 days 29.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HF Sinclair to drop to $ 29.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HF Sinclair Corp probability density function shows the probability of DINO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HF Sinclair Corp price to stay between $ 29.50  and its current price of $34.13 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 suggesting HF Sinclair Corp market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, HF Sinclair is expected to follow. Additionally HF Sinclair Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HF Sinclair Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HF Sinclair

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HF Sinclair Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.9134.0236.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5140.3142.42
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.3461.9168.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.510.67
Details

HF Sinclair Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HF Sinclair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HF Sinclair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HF Sinclair Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HF Sinclair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.12
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

HF Sinclair Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HF Sinclair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HF Sinclair Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HF Sinclair Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 4th of December 2024 HF Sinclair paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Principal Financial Group Inc. Has 59.40 Million Stock Position in HF Sinclair Co.

HF Sinclair Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DINO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HF Sinclair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HF Sinclair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding190 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

HF Sinclair Technical Analysis

HF Sinclair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DINO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HF Sinclair Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing DINO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HF Sinclair Predictive Forecast Models

HF Sinclair's time-series forecasting models is one of many HF Sinclair's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HF Sinclair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HF Sinclair Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about HF Sinclair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HF Sinclair Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HF Sinclair Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 4th of December 2024 HF Sinclair paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Principal Financial Group Inc. Has 59.40 Million Stock Position in HF Sinclair Co.
When determining whether HF Sinclair Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of HF Sinclair's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hf Sinclair Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hf Sinclair Corp Stock:
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. If investors know DINO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HF Sinclair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Dividend Share
1.95
Earnings Share
1.73
Revenue Per Share
155.095
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
The market value of HF Sinclair Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DINO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HF Sinclair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HF Sinclair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HF Sinclair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HF Sinclair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HF Sinclair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HF Sinclair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HF Sinclair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.