Dreyfus Global Emerging Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.06

DGEAX Fund  USD 21.35  0.09  0.42%   
Dreyfus Global's future price is the expected price of Dreyfus Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dreyfus Global Emerging performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dreyfus Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dreyfus Global Correlation, Dreyfus Global Hype Analysis, Dreyfus Global Volatility, Dreyfus Global History as well as Dreyfus Global Performance.
  
Please specify Dreyfus Global's target price for which you would like Dreyfus Global odds to be computed.

Dreyfus Global Target Price Odds to finish over 24.06

The tendency of Dreyfus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 24.06  or more in 90 days
 21.35 90 days 24.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dreyfus Global to move over $ 24.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dreyfus Global Emerging probability density function shows the probability of Dreyfus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dreyfus Global Emerging price to stay between its current price of $ 21.35  and $ 24.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus Global has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dreyfus Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dreyfus Global Emerging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dreyfus Global Emerging has an alpha of 0.0099, implying that it can generate a 0.009886 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dreyfus Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dreyfus Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dreyfus Global Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5521.3522.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8819.6823.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7421.5522.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4421.1221.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dreyfus Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dreyfus Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dreyfus Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dreyfus Global Emerging.

Dreyfus Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dreyfus Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dreyfus Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dreyfus Global Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dreyfus Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Dreyfus Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dreyfus Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dreyfus Global Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BNY Mellon Global Emerging Markets Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Dreyfus Global Emerging retains 96.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Dreyfus Global Technical Analysis

Dreyfus Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dreyfus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dreyfus Global Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dreyfus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dreyfus Global Predictive Forecast Models

Dreyfus Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dreyfus Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dreyfus Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dreyfus Global Emerging

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus Global Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: BNY Mellon Global Emerging Markets Fund Q3 2024 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Dreyfus Global Emerging retains 96.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Global security.
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