DBS GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 31.03
| DEVL Stock | EUR 31.03 0.12 0.39% |
DBS |
DBS GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 31.03
The tendency of DBS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 31.03 | 90 days | 31.03 | about 12.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DBS GROUP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.2 (This DBS GROUP HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of DBS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DBS GROUP HLDGS has a beta of -0.0602 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding DBS GROUP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, DBS GROUP HLDGS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DBS GROUP HLDGS has an alpha of 0.2674, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). DBS GROUP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DBS GROUP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DBS GROUP HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DBS GROUP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DBS GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DBS GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DBS GROUP HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DBS GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
DBS GROUP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DBS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DBS GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DBS GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1279 |
DBS GROUP Technical Analysis
DBS GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DBS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DBS GROUP HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing DBS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DBS GROUP Predictive Forecast Models
DBS GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many DBS GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DBS GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards DBS GROUP in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, DBS GROUP's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from DBS GROUP options trading.
Additional Tools for DBS Stock Analysis
When running DBS GROUP's price analysis, check to measure DBS GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DBS GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of DBS GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DBS GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DBS GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DBS GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.