Diageo Plc Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 126.7

DEO Stock  USD 131.45  2.21  1.71%   
Diageo PLC's future price is the expected price of Diageo PLC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diageo PLC ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diageo PLC Backtesting, Diageo PLC Valuation, Diageo PLC Correlation, Diageo PLC Hype Analysis, Diageo PLC Volatility, Diageo PLC History as well as Diageo PLC Performance.
  
At this time, Diageo PLC's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 14th of December 2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 34.65, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.78. Please specify Diageo PLC's target price for which you would like Diageo PLC odds to be computed.

Diageo PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 126.7

The tendency of Diageo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 126.70  or more in 90 days
 131.45 90 days 126.70 
about 38.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diageo PLC to drop to $ 126.70  or more in 90 days from now is about 38.67 (This Diageo PLC ADR probability density function shows the probability of Diageo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Diageo PLC ADR price to stay between $ 126.70  and its current price of $131.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.4 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Diageo PLC has a beta of 0.0997 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Diageo PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diageo PLC ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diageo PLC ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diageo PLC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diageo PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diageo PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diageo PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.93131.43132.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
118.31152.47153.97
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
158.82174.53193.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.751.922.25
Details

Diageo PLC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diageo PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diageo PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diageo PLC ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diageo PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
7.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Diageo PLC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diageo PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diageo PLC ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diageo PLC ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diageo PLC ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 17th of October 2024 Diageo PLC paid $ 2.5192 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Guinness ration cards introduced by pub due to the nationwide shortage

Diageo PLC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diageo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diageo PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diageo PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding559.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Diageo PLC Technical Analysis

Diageo PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diageo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diageo PLC ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diageo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diageo PLC Predictive Forecast Models

Diageo PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diageo PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diageo PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diageo PLC ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diageo PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diageo PLC ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diageo PLC ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diageo PLC ADR has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 17th of October 2024 Diageo PLC paid $ 2.5192 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from express.co.uk: Guinness ration cards introduced by pub due to the nationwide shortage
When determining whether Diageo PLC ADR offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Diageo PLC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Diageo Plc Adr Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Diageo Plc Adr Stock:
Is Distillers & Vintners space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diageo PLC. If investors know Diageo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diageo PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
1.035
Earnings Share
6.91
Revenue Per Share
2.0142
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Diageo PLC ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diageo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diageo PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diageo PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diageo PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diageo PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diageo PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diageo PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diageo PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.