Douglas Emmett Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.91
| DEI Stock | USD 18.64 0.35 1.84% |
Douglas |
Douglas Emmett Target Price Odds to finish below 12.91
The tendency of Douglas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.91 or more in 90 days |
| 18.64 | 90 days | 12.91 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Douglas Emmett to drop to $ 12.91 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Douglas Emmett probability density function shows the probability of Douglas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Douglas Emmett price to stay between $ 12.91 and its current price of $18.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Douglas Emmett has a beta of 0.13 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Douglas Emmett average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Douglas Emmett will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Douglas Emmett has an alpha of 0.1433, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Douglas Emmett Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Douglas Emmett
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Emmett. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Emmett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Douglas Emmett Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Douglas Emmett is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Douglas Emmett's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Douglas Emmett, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Douglas Emmett within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Douglas Emmett Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Douglas Emmett for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Douglas Emmett can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.02 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (43.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 657.25 M. | |
| Douglas Emmett has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Topa Financial Center property sale another sign of evolving downtown |
Douglas Emmett Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Douglas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Douglas Emmett's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Emmett's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 523.1 M |
Douglas Emmett Technical Analysis
Douglas Emmett's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Douglas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Douglas Emmett. In general, you should focus on analyzing Douglas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Douglas Emmett Predictive Forecast Models
Douglas Emmett's time-series forecasting models is one of many Douglas Emmett's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Douglas Emmett's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Douglas Emmett
Checking the ongoing alerts about Douglas Emmett for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Douglas Emmett help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.02 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (43.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 657.25 M. | |
| Douglas Emmett has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Topa Financial Center property sale another sign of evolving downtown |
Check out Douglas Emmett Backtesting, Douglas Emmett Valuation, Douglas Emmett Correlation, Douglas Emmett Hype Analysis, Douglas Emmett Volatility, Douglas Emmett History as well as Douglas Emmett Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Emmett guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Emmett. If investors know Douglas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Douglas Emmett listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Dividend Share 0.76 | Earnings Share (0.10) | Revenue Per Share 5.774 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Douglas Emmett is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Douglas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Douglas Emmett's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Douglas Emmett's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Douglas Emmett's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Douglas Emmett's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Douglas Emmett's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Douglas Emmett is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Douglas Emmett's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.