Darden Restaurants (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 150.79
| DDN Stock | EUR 181.35 7.55 4.34% |
Darden |
Darden Restaurants Target Price Odds to finish below 150.79
The tendency of Darden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 150.79 or more in 90 days |
| 181.35 | 90 days | 150.79 | about 33.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Darden Restaurants to drop to € 150.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 33.0 (This Darden Restaurants probability density function shows the probability of Darden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Darden Restaurants price to stay between € 150.79 and its current price of €181.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Darden Restaurants has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Darden Restaurants average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Darden Restaurants will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Darden Restaurants has an alpha of 0.2598, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Darden Restaurants Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Darden Restaurants
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Darden Restaurants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Darden Restaurants Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Darden Restaurants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Darden Restaurants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Darden Restaurants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Darden Restaurants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Darden Restaurants Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Darden Restaurants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Darden Restaurants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Darden Restaurants has accumulated 901 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Darden Restaurants until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Darden Restaurants' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Darden Restaurants sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Darden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Darden Restaurants' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Darden Restaurants Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Darden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Darden Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Darden Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.7 M |
Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis
Darden Restaurants' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Darden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Darden Restaurants. In general, you should focus on analyzing Darden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Darden Restaurants Predictive Forecast Models
Darden Restaurants' time-series forecasting models is one of many Darden Restaurants' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Darden Restaurants' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Darden Restaurants
Checking the ongoing alerts about Darden Restaurants for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Darden Restaurants help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Darden Restaurants has accumulated 901 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Darden Restaurants has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Darden Restaurants until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Darden Restaurants' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Darden Restaurants sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Darden to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Darden Restaurants' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of Darden Restaurants shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Darden Stock
When determining whether Darden Restaurants offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Darden Restaurants' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Darden Restaurants Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Darden Restaurants Stock:Check out Darden Restaurants Backtesting, Darden Restaurants Valuation, Darden Restaurants Correlation, Darden Restaurants Hype Analysis, Darden Restaurants Volatility, Darden Restaurants History as well as Darden Restaurants Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Darden Stock please use our How to Invest in Darden Restaurants guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.