Dis Chem (South Africa) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3,372
| DCP Stock | 3,640 9.00 0.25% |
Dis |
Dis Chem Target Price Odds to finish over 3,372
The tendency of Dis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3,640 | 90 days | 3,640 | about 87.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dis Chem to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.74 (This Dis Chem Pharmacies probability density function shows the probability of Dis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dis Chem has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dis Chem average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dis Chem Pharmacies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dis Chem Pharmacies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dis Chem Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dis Chem
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dis Chem Pharmacies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dis Chem Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dis Chem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dis Chem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dis Chem Pharmacies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dis Chem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 66.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Dis Chem Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dis Chem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dis Chem Pharmacies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dis Chem Pharmacies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Dis Chem Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dis Chem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dis Chem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 859.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 705.9 M |
Dis Chem Technical Analysis
Dis Chem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dis Chem Pharmacies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dis Chem Predictive Forecast Models
Dis Chem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dis Chem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dis Chem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dis Chem Pharmacies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dis Chem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dis Chem Pharmacies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dis Chem Pharmacies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Dis Stock
Dis Chem financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dis with respect to the benefits of owning Dis Chem security.