DCB Bank (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.44

DCBBANK Stock   122.50  0.49  0.40%   
DCB Bank's future price is the expected price of DCB Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DCB Bank Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DCB Bank Backtesting, DCB Bank Valuation, DCB Bank Correlation, DCB Bank Hype Analysis, DCB Bank Volatility, DCB Bank History as well as DCB Bank Performance.
  
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DCB Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 117.44

The tendency of DCB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  117.44  or more in 90 days
 122.50 90 days 117.44 
about 27.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DCB Bank to drop to  117.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.92 (This DCB Bank Limited probability density function shows the probability of DCB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DCB Bank Limited price to stay between  117.44  and its current price of 122.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DCB Bank has a beta of 0.3 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DCB Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DCB Bank Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DCB Bank Limited has an alpha of 0.0294, implying that it can generate a 0.0294 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DCB Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DCB Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DCB Bank Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.81122.51124.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
119.67121.37123.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.504.835.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DCB Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DCB Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DCB Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DCB Bank Limited.

DCB Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DCB Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DCB Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DCB Bank Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DCB Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
5.17
Ir
Information ratio 0

DCB Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DCB Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DCB Bank Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DCB Bank Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
DCB Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intraday Stocks To BUY Today, Top Picks HDFC Bank, CONCOR, Tech Mahindra, DCB Bank and more - MSN

DCB Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DCB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DCB Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DCB Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding315.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.7 B

DCB Bank Technical Analysis

DCB Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DCB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DCB Bank Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing DCB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DCB Bank Predictive Forecast Models

DCB Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many DCB Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DCB Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DCB Bank Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about DCB Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DCB Bank Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DCB Bank Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
DCB Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intraday Stocks To BUY Today, Top Picks HDFC Bank, CONCOR, Tech Mahindra, DCB Bank and more - MSN

Other Information on Investing in DCB Stock

DCB Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether DCB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DCB with respect to the benefits of owning DCB Bank security.