Danske Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 199.94
| DANSKE Stock | DKK 202.70 1.50 0.75% |
Danske |
Danske Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 199.94
The tendency of Danske Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 199.94 or more in 90 days |
| 202.70 | 90 days | 199.94 | about 26.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danske Bank to drop to kr 199.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.81 (This Danske Bank AS probability density function shows the probability of Danske Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Danske Bank AS price to stay between kr 199.94 and its current price of kr202.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danske Bank AS has a beta of -0.28 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Danske Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Danske Bank AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Danske Bank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Danske Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Danske Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danske Bank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Danske Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danske Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danske Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danske Bank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danske Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Danske Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danske Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danske Bank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Danske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.41 B. | |
| Danske Bank AS has accumulated about 746.42 B in cash with (109.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 874.68. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Danske Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danske Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danske Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danske Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 850.9 M |
Danske Bank Technical Analysis
Danske Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danske Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danske Bank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danske Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Danske Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Danske Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danske Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danske Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Danske Bank AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Danske Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danske Bank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Danske Bank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 44.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.07 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.41 B. | |
| Danske Bank AS has accumulated about 746.42 B in cash with (109.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 874.68. | |
| Roughly 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Danske Stock
Danske Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danske Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danske with respect to the benefits of owning Danske Bank security.