Dis Fastigheter (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.79

D1F Stock  EUR 6.59  0.04  0.60%   
Dis Fastigheter's future price is the expected price of Dis Fastigheter instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dis Fastigheter AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dis Fastigheter Backtesting, Dis Fastigheter Valuation, Dis Fastigheter Correlation, Dis Fastigheter Hype Analysis, Dis Fastigheter Volatility, Dis Fastigheter History as well as Dis Fastigheter Performance.
  
Please specify Dis Fastigheter's target price for which you would like Dis Fastigheter odds to be computed.

Dis Fastigheter Target Price Odds to finish below 1.79

The tendency of Dis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 1.79  or more in 90 days
 6.59 90 days 1.79 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dis Fastigheter to drop to € 1.79  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dis Fastigheter AB probability density function shows the probability of Dis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dis Fastigheter AB price to stay between € 1.79  and its current price of €6.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dis Fastigheter AB has a beta of -0.0275 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dis Fastigheter are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dis Fastigheter AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dis Fastigheter AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dis Fastigheter Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dis Fastigheter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dis Fastigheter AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.996.598.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.507.108.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.896.498.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.496.736.98
Details

Dis Fastigheter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dis Fastigheter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dis Fastigheter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dis Fastigheter AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dis Fastigheter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Dis Fastigheter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dis Fastigheter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dis Fastigheter AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dis Fastigheter AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dis Fastigheter AB has accumulated 9.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.41, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dis Fastigheter AB has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dis Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dis Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dis Fastigheter AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dis Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 32.0% of Dis Fastigheter shares are held by company insiders

Dis Fastigheter Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dis Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dis Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.3 M

Dis Fastigheter Technical Analysis

Dis Fastigheter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dis Fastigheter AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dis Fastigheter Predictive Forecast Models

Dis Fastigheter's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dis Fastigheter's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dis Fastigheter's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dis Fastigheter AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dis Fastigheter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dis Fastigheter AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dis Fastigheter AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dis Fastigheter AB has accumulated 9.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.41, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dis Fastigheter AB has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dis Fastigheter until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dis Fastigheter's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dis Fastigheter AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dis Fastigheter's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 32.0% of Dis Fastigheter shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dis Stock

Dis Fastigheter financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dis with respect to the benefits of owning Dis Fastigheter security.