Crown Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.76
| CWN Stock | EUR 78.88 0.42 0.53% |
Crown |
Crown Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 80.76
The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 80.76 after 90 days |
| 78.88 | 90 days | 80.76 | about 1.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Holdings to stay under € 80.76 after 90 days from now is about 1.54 (This Crown Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Holdings price to stay between its current price of € 78.88 and € 80.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crown Holdings has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Crown Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Crown Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Crown Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crown Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crown Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crown Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Crown Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crown Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crown Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Crown Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.9 M |
Crown Holdings Technical Analysis
Crown Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crown Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Crown Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crown Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crown Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crown Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Crown Stock
When determining whether Crown Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Crown Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Crown Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Crown Holdings Stock:Check out Crown Holdings Backtesting, Crown Holdings Valuation, Crown Holdings Correlation, Crown Holdings Hype Analysis, Crown Holdings Volatility, Crown Holdings History as well as Crown Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Holdings guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.