Crown Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0007

CWE Stock  EUR 0.02  0.01  32.84%   
Crown Energy's future price is the expected price of Crown Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crown Energy AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crown Energy Backtesting, Crown Energy Valuation, Crown Energy Correlation, Crown Energy Hype Analysis, Crown Energy Volatility, Crown Energy History as well as Crown Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Crown Energy's target price for which you would like Crown Energy odds to be computed.

Crown Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0007

The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.0007  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.0007 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Energy to drop to € 0.0007  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crown Energy AB probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Energy AB price to stay between € 0.0007  and its current price of €0.0225 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Crown Energy AB has a beta of -1.66 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Crown Energy AB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Crown Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Crown Energy AB has an alpha of 0.7604, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crown Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crown Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Energy AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0317.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0317.28
Details

Crown Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Energy AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.76
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Crown Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Energy AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Energy AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Crown Energy AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Energy AB has accumulated 6.61 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Crown Energy AB has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Energy AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 90.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.78 M.
About 18.0% of Crown Energy shares are held by company insiders

Crown Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding477.3 M

Crown Energy Technical Analysis

Crown Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Energy AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crown Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Crown Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crown Energy AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Energy AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Energy AB had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Crown Energy AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Crown Energy AB has accumulated 6.61 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Crown Energy AB has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Crown Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Crown Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Crown Energy AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Crown Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 90.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.78 M.
About 18.0% of Crown Energy shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Crown Stock

Crown Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crown with respect to the benefits of owning Crown Energy security.