Cel Sci Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.11
| CVM Stock | USD 0.60 0.10 14.29% |
CEL |
CEL SCI Target Price Odds to finish over 23.11
The tendency of CEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 23.11 or more in 90 days |
| 0.60 | 90 days | 23.11 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CEL SCI to move over $ 23.11 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CEL SCI Corp probability density function shows the probability of CEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CEL SCI Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.60 and $ 23.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.67 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CEL SCI Corp has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CEL SCI are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CEL SCI Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CEL SCI Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CEL SCI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CEL SCI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEL SCI Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEL SCI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CEL SCI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CEL SCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CEL SCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CEL SCI Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CEL SCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
CEL SCI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CEL SCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CEL SCI Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CEL SCI Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CEL SCI Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CEL SCI Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CEL SCI Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (32.19 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (25.36 M). | |
| CEL SCI Corp has about 22.67 M in cash with (22.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| CEL SCI Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Daniel Zimmerman of 435 shares of CEL SCI at 8.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CEL SCI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CEL SCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEL SCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
CEL SCI Technical Analysis
CEL SCI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CEL SCI Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing CEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CEL SCI Predictive Forecast Models
CEL SCI's time-series forecasting models is one of many CEL SCI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CEL SCI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CEL SCI Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about CEL SCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CEL SCI Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CEL SCI Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CEL SCI Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CEL SCI Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CEL SCI Corp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Reported Net Loss for the year was (32.19 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (25.36 M). | |
| CEL SCI Corp has about 22.67 M in cash with (22.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| CEL SCI Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Daniel Zimmerman of 435 shares of CEL SCI at 8.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CEL SCI Backtesting, CEL SCI Valuation, CEL SCI Correlation, CEL SCI Hype Analysis, CEL SCI Volatility, CEL SCI History as well as CEL SCI Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CEL SCI. If investors know CEL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CEL SCI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.52) | Revenue Per Share 0.001 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.63) | Return On Assets (0.61) | Return On Equity (2.50) |
The market value of CEL SCI Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CEL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CEL SCI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CEL SCI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CEL SCI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CEL SCI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CEL SCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CEL SCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CEL SCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.