Organizacin Cultiba (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.75
| CULTIBAB | MXN 10.20 0.30 2.86% |
Organizacin |
Organizacin Cultiba Target Price Odds to finish below 8.75
The tendency of Organizacin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.75 or more in 90 days |
| 10.20 | 90 days | 8.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Organizacin Cultiba to drop to 8.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Organizacin Cultiba SAB probability density function shows the probability of Organizacin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Organizacin Cultiba SAB price to stay between 8.75 and its current price of 10.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Organizacin Cultiba has a beta of 0.0203 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Organizacin Cultiba average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Organizacin Cultiba SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Organizacin Cultiba SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Organizacin Cultiba Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Organizacin Cultiba
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Organizacin Cultiba SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Organizacin Cultiba Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Organizacin Cultiba is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Organizacin Cultiba's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Organizacin Cultiba SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Organizacin Cultiba within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Organizacin Cultiba Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Organizacin Cultiba for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Organizacin Cultiba SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Organizacin Cultiba generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Organizacin Cultiba has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (705.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B. | |
| Organizacin Cultiba SAB has accumulated about 833.23 M in cash with (105 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Organizacin Cultiba Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Organizacin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Organizacin Cultiba's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Organizacin Cultiba's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 715.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.3 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.4 B |
Organizacin Cultiba Technical Analysis
Organizacin Cultiba's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Organizacin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Organizacin Cultiba SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Organizacin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Organizacin Cultiba Predictive Forecast Models
Organizacin Cultiba's time-series forecasting models is one of many Organizacin Cultiba's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Organizacin Cultiba's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Organizacin Cultiba SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Organizacin Cultiba for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Organizacin Cultiba SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Organizacin Cultiba generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Organizacin Cultiba has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.92 B. Net Loss for the year was (705.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B. | |
| Organizacin Cultiba SAB has accumulated about 833.23 M in cash with (105 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.16. | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Organizacin Stock
Organizacin Cultiba financial ratios help investors to determine whether Organizacin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Organizacin with respect to the benefits of owning Organizacin Cultiba security.