Coronado Global (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.61

CRN Stock   0.74  0.02  2.63%   
Coronado Global's future price is the expected price of Coronado Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coronado Global Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coronado Global Backtesting, Coronado Global Valuation, Coronado Global Correlation, Coronado Global Hype Analysis, Coronado Global Volatility, Coronado Global History as well as Coronado Global Performance.
  
Please specify Coronado Global's target price for which you would like Coronado Global odds to be computed.

Coronado Global Target Price Odds to finish over 1.61

The tendency of Coronado Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.61  or more in 90 days
 0.74 90 days 1.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coronado Global to move over  1.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Coronado Global Resources probability density function shows the probability of Coronado Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coronado Global Resources price to stay between its current price of  0.74  and  1.61  at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Coronado Global has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coronado Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coronado Global Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coronado Global Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Coronado Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coronado Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coronado Global Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.743.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.713.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.01-0.00440.01
Details

Coronado Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coronado Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coronado Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coronado Global Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coronado Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Coronado Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coronado Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coronado Global Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coronado Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coronado Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Coronado Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coronado Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coronado Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coronado Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments361.2 M

Coronado Global Technical Analysis

Coronado Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coronado Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coronado Global Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coronado Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coronado Global Predictive Forecast Models

Coronado Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coronado Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coronado Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coronado Global Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coronado Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coronado Global Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coronado Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coronado Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Coronado Stock Analysis

When running Coronado Global's price analysis, check to measure Coronado Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coronado Global is operating at the current time. Most of Coronado Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coronado Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coronado Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coronado Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.