Carebook Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.14

CRBK Stock  CAD 0.10  0.01  5.26%   
Carebook Technologies' future price is the expected price of Carebook Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Carebook Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Carebook Technologies Backtesting, Carebook Technologies Valuation, Carebook Technologies Correlation, Carebook Technologies Hype Analysis, Carebook Technologies Volatility, Carebook Technologies History as well as Carebook Technologies Performance.
  
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Carebook Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 17.14

The tendency of Carebook Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 17.14  or more in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 17.14 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carebook Technologies to move over C$ 17.14  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Carebook Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Carebook Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carebook Technologies price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.10  and C$ 17.14  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.36 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Carebook Technologies will likely underperform. Moreover Carebook Technologies has an alpha of 1.334, implying that it can generate a 1.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Carebook Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carebook Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carebook Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1217.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0917.02
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Carebook Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carebook Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carebook Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carebook Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carebook Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Carebook Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carebook Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carebook Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carebook Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Carebook Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Carebook Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Carebook Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Carebook Technologies has accumulated 1.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Carebook Technologies has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Carebook Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Carebook Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Carebook Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Carebook to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Carebook Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 12.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.24 M.
Carebook Technologies has accumulated about 1.24 M in cash with (806 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Over 79.0% of Carebook Technologies shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Carebook Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carebook Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carebook Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carebook Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.8 M

Carebook Technologies Technical Analysis

Carebook Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carebook Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carebook Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carebook Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Carebook Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Carebook Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Carebook Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carebook Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Carebook Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carebook Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carebook Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carebook Technologies is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Carebook Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Carebook Technologies appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Carebook Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Carebook Technologies has accumulated 1.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Carebook Technologies has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Carebook Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Carebook Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Carebook Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Carebook to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Carebook Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 12.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.24 M.
Carebook Technologies has accumulated about 1.24 M in cash with (806 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Over 79.0% of Carebook Technologies shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Tools for Carebook Stock Analysis

When running Carebook Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Carebook Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carebook Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Carebook Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carebook Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carebook Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carebook Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.