COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.93

COPA Stock  EUR 20.80  0.20  0.95%   
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's future price is the expected price of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Backtesting, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Valuation, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Correlation, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Hype Analysis, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Volatility, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR History as well as COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Performance.
  
Please specify COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's target price for which you would like COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR odds to be computed.

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Target Price Odds to finish below 24.93

The tendency of COMPUGROUP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 24.93  after 90 days
 20.80 90 days 24.93 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR to stay under € 24.93  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 probability density function shows the probability of COMPUGROUP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR price to stay between its current price of € 20.80  and € 24.93  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 has a beta of -1.84 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 has an alpha of 0.9562, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1320.8027.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2715.9422.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR.

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.84
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 has accumulated 685.04 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for COMPUGROUP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Technical Analysis

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMPUGROUP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMPUGROUP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR Predictive Forecast Models

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR 1 has accumulated 685.04 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for COMPUGROUP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in COMPUGROUP Stock

COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMPUGROUP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMPUGROUP with respect to the benefits of owning COMPUGROUP MEDSPADR security.