Coherent Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 97.67
| COHR Stock | USD 96.99 2.61 2.62% |
Coherent |
Coherent Target Price Odds to finish below 97.67
The tendency of Coherent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 97.67 after 90 days |
| 96.99 | 90 days | 97.67 | about 35.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coherent to stay under $ 97.67 after 90 days from now is about 35.89 (This Coherent probability density function shows the probability of Coherent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coherent price to stay between its current price of $ 96.99 and $ 97.67 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.51 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.01 suggesting Coherent market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Coherent is expected to follow. Additionally Coherent has an alpha of 0.1204, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Coherent Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Coherent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coherent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coherent Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coherent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coherent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coherent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coherent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Coherent Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coherent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coherent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Coherent had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (158.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.78 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lumentum Holdings Inc Expands Board with New Appointment |
Coherent Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coherent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coherent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coherent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 151.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 926 M |
Coherent Technical Analysis
Coherent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coherent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coherent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coherent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coherent Predictive Forecast Models
Coherent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coherent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coherent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Coherent
Checking the ongoing alerts about Coherent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coherent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Coherent had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.71 B. Net Loss for the year was (158.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.78 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Lumentum Holdings Inc Expands Board with New Appointment |
Additional Tools for Coherent Stock Analysis
When running Coherent's price analysis, check to measure Coherent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coherent is operating at the current time. Most of Coherent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coherent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coherent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coherent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.