Co Diagnostics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.27
| CODX Stock | USD 0.73 0.00 0.000003% |
CODX |
Co Diagnostics Target Price Odds to finish below 1.27
The tendency of CODX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.27 after 90 days |
| 0.73 | 90 days | 1.27 | about 81.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Co Diagnostics to stay under $ 1.27 after 90 days from now is about 81.04 (This Co Diagnostics probability density function shows the probability of CODX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Co Diagnostics price to stay between its current price of $ 0.73 and $ 1.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Co Diagnostics has a beta of -0.46 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Co Diagnostics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Co Diagnostics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Co Diagnostics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Co Diagnostics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Co Diagnostics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Co Diagnostics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Co Diagnostics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Co Diagnostics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Co Diagnostics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Co Diagnostics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Co Diagnostics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Co Diagnostics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Co Diagnostics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Co Diagnostics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Co Diagnostics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Co Diagnostics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Co Diagnostics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Co Diagnostics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.74 M. | |
| Co Diagnostics currently holds about 86.49 M in cash with (22.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Co Diagnostics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Co-Diagnostics, Inc. and CoSara Diagnostics to Inaugurate New Oligo Facility |
Co Diagnostics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CODX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Co Diagnostics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Co Diagnostics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.5 M |
Co Diagnostics Technical Analysis
Co Diagnostics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CODX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Co Diagnostics. In general, you should focus on analyzing CODX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Co Diagnostics Predictive Forecast Models
Co Diagnostics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Co Diagnostics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Co Diagnostics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Co Diagnostics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Co Diagnostics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Co Diagnostics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Co Diagnostics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Co Diagnostics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Co Diagnostics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.81 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.74 M. | |
| Co Diagnostics currently holds about 86.49 M in cash with (22.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Co Diagnostics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Co-Diagnostics, Inc. and CoSara Diagnostics to Inaugurate New Oligo Facility |
Additional Tools for CODX Stock Analysis
When running Co Diagnostics' price analysis, check to measure Co Diagnostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Co Diagnostics is operating at the current time. Most of Co Diagnostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Co Diagnostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Co Diagnostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Co Diagnostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.