Context Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.54

CNTX Stock  USD 1.39  0.05  3.47%   
Context Therapeutics' future price is the expected price of Context Therapeutics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Context Therapeutics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Context Therapeutics Backtesting, Context Therapeutics Valuation, Context Therapeutics Correlation, Context Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Context Therapeutics Volatility, Context Therapeutics History as well as Context Therapeutics Performance.
For more information on how to buy Context Stock please use our How to Invest in Context Therapeutics guide.
  
At this time, Context Therapeutics' Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to rise to 1.60 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (0.79) in 2024. Please specify Context Therapeutics' target price for which you would like Context Therapeutics odds to be computed.

Context Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 1.54

The tendency of Context Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.54  after 90 days
 1.39 90 days 1.54 
about 10.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Context Therapeutics to stay under $ 1.54  after 90 days from now is about 10.52 (This Context Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Context Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Context Therapeutics price to stay between its current price of $ 1.39  and $ 1.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Context Therapeutics has a beta of -0.89 suggesting Additionally Context Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Context Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Context Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Context Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Context Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.275.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.966.67
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.373.704.11
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.14-0.13-0.12
Details

Context Therapeutics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Context Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Context Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Context Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Context Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Context Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Context Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Context Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Context Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Context Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock
Context Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (23.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Context Therapeutics currently holds about 42.92 M in cash with (21.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Context Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Context Therapeutics Secures Funding for Cancer Therapy Pipeline - TipRanks

Context Therapeutics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Context Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Context Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Context Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.4 M

Context Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Context Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Context Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Context Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Context Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Context Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models

Context Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Context Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Context Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Context Therapeutics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Context Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Context Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Context Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Context Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock
Context Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Net Loss for the year was (23.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Context Therapeutics currently holds about 42.92 M in cash with (21.05 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Context Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Context Therapeutics Secures Funding for Cancer Therapy Pipeline - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Context Stock Analysis

When running Context Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Context Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Context Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Context Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Context Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Context Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Context Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.