Caledonian Trust (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.48
| CNN Stock | 65.00 30.00 85.71% |
Caledonian |
Caledonian Trust Target Price Odds to finish over 62.48
The tendency of Caledonian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 62.48 in 90 days |
| 65.00 | 90 days | 62.48 | about 92.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caledonian Trust to stay above 62.48 in 90 days from now is about 92.22 (This Caledonian Trust PLC probability density function shows the probability of Caledonian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caledonian Trust PLC price to stay between 62.48 and its current price of 65.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caledonian Trust PLC has a beta of -1.89 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Caledonian Trust PLC are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Caledonian Trust is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Caledonian Trust PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Caledonian Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caledonian Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caledonian Trust PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caledonian Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caledonian Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caledonian Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caledonian Trust PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caledonian Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Caledonian Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caledonian Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caledonian Trust PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caledonian Trust PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Caledonian Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caledonian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caledonian Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caledonian Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Caledonian Trust Technical Analysis
Caledonian Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caledonian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caledonian Trust PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caledonian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caledonian Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Caledonian Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Caledonian Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caledonian Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caledonian Trust PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caledonian Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caledonian Trust PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caledonian Trust PLC is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Caledonian Trust PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 90.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Caledonian Stock
Caledonian Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caledonian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caledonian with respect to the benefits of owning Caledonian Trust security.