Conifer Holdings Senior Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.74
| CNFRLDelisted Stock | USD 22.03 0.01 0.05% |
Conifer |
Conifer Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 22.74
The tendency of Conifer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.74 after 90 days |
| 22.03 | 90 days | 22.74 | about 33.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Conifer Holdings to stay under $ 22.74 after 90 days from now is about 33.77 (This Conifer Holdings Senior probability density function shows the probability of Conifer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Conifer Holdings Senior price to stay between its current price of $ 22.03 and $ 22.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Conifer Holdings Senior has a beta of -0.0341 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Conifer Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Conifer Holdings Senior is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Conifer Holdings Senior has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Conifer Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Conifer Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Conifer Holdings Senior. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Conifer Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Conifer Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Conifer Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Conifer Holdings Senior, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Conifer Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Conifer Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Conifer Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Conifer Holdings Senior can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Conifer Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Conifer Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 104.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Conifer Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations |
Conifer Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Conifer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Conifer Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Conifer Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54 M |
Conifer Holdings Technical Analysis
Conifer Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Conifer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Conifer Holdings Senior. In general, you should focus on analyzing Conifer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Conifer Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Conifer Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Conifer Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Conifer Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Conifer Holdings Senior
Checking the ongoing alerts about Conifer Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Conifer Holdings Senior help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Conifer Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Conifer Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 104.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Conifer Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Other Consideration for investing in Conifer Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Conifer Holdings Senior check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Conifer Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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