Contact Financial (Egypt) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.97
| CNFN Stock | 4.65 0.10 2.20% |
Contact |
Contact Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 4.97
The tendency of Contact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.97 or more in 90 days |
| 4.65 | 90 days | 4.97 | about 11.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Contact Financial to move over 4.97 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.75 (This Contact Financial Holding probability density function shows the probability of Contact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Contact Financial Holding price to stay between its current price of 4.65 and 4.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Contact Financial has a beta of 0.19 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Contact Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Contact Financial Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Contact Financial Holding has an alpha of 0.2734, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Contact Financial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Contact Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Contact Financial Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Contact Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Contact Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Contact Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Contact Financial Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Contact Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Contact Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Contact Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Contact Financial Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Contact Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Contact Financial Technical Analysis
Contact Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Contact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Contact Financial Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Contact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Contact Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Contact Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Contact Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Contact Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Contact Financial Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Contact Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Contact Financial Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Contact Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |