Alger Concentrated Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.24

CNEYX Fund   13.24  0.16  1.22%   
Alger Concentrated's future price is the expected price of Alger Concentrated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alger Concentrated Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alger Concentrated Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Alger Concentrated Correlation, Alger Concentrated Hype Analysis, Alger Concentrated Volatility, Alger Concentrated History as well as Alger Concentrated Performance.
  
Please specify Alger Concentrated's target price for which you would like Alger Concentrated odds to be computed.

Alger Concentrated Target Price Odds to finish over 13.24

The tendency of Alger Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.24 90 days 13.24 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alger Concentrated to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Alger Concentrated Equity probability density function shows the probability of Alger Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alger Concentrated has a beta of 0.1 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Alger Concentrated average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alger Concentrated Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alger Concentrated Equity has an alpha of 0.2487, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alger Concentrated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alger Concentrated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alger Concentrated Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alger Concentrated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1213.2414.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4313.5514.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.1013.2214.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8312.9813.14
Details

Alger Concentrated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alger Concentrated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alger Concentrated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alger Concentrated Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alger Concentrated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Alger Concentrated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alger Concentrated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alger Concentrated Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Alger Concentrated Technical Analysis

Alger Concentrated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alger Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alger Concentrated Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alger Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alger Concentrated Predictive Forecast Models

Alger Concentrated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alger Concentrated's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alger Concentrated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alger Concentrated Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alger Concentrated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alger Concentrated Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Concentrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Concentrated security.
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